Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Orense SC to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrense SC to win ✓65% · @1.90
Double chanceOrense SC or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC preview and prediction
The match
Orense SC host Mushuc Runa SC in the Liga Pro on Thursday 19 March, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio 9 de Mayo. Orense SC are 13th with 39 points from 36 games, while Mushuc Runa SC sit 12th on 43 points.
Form guide
Orense SC's last 4: DLDL Most recently they drew with Manta FC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Orense SC and 0.6 for Mushuc Runa SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Orense SC to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Orense SC or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orense SC 1–0 Mushuc Runa SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orense SC65%fair 1.55 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Mushuc Runa SC13%fair 7.94 · @4.00
2.28Expected goals
1.69Orense SC xG
0.58Mushuc Runa SC xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Orense SC 1.7 – 0.6 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orense SC to win✓
65%
1.55
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Orense SC or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orense SC / FT Orense SC✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.76
–
Form
Orense SC – last 4
DLDL
10 Mar
vs Manta FC
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Macara
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs LDU de Quito
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Mushuc Runa SC – last 1
D
15 Mar
vs Macara
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orense SC and Mushuc Runa SC.
What is the prediction for Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Orense SC or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Orense SC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mushuc Runa SC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Orense SC 1–0 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
