Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario prediction & analysis
89%
Footrivo pick
Aucas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.12 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Aucas to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAucas to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceAucas or draw ✗89% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.67
Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario preview and prediction
The match
Tecnico Universitario travel to Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda in the Liga Pro on Thursday 19 March (20:00 WAT) to face Aucas. Aucas are 5th with 54 points from 36 games, while Tecnico Universitario sit 15th on 37 points. A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tecnico Universitario's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Libertad 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Aucas and 0.6 for Tecnico Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Aucas to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aucas or draw – a 89% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.12, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aucas 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aucas64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.40
Tecnico Universitario11%fair 9.17 · @4.55
2.26Expected goals
1.69Aucas xG
0.57Tecnico Universitario xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.7 – 0.6 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aucas to win✗
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Aucas or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Aucas ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aucas / FT Aucas✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.67
–
Form
Aucas – last 1
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tecnico Universitario – last 3
WDD
13 Mar
vs Libertad
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Macara
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Orense SC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aucas and Tecnico Universitario.
What is the prediction for Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our pick is Aucas or draw with a 89% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario?
On our numbers Aucas have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tecnico Universitario 11%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario?
Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
