Libertad host Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro on Thursday 19 March, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne. Libertad are 7th with 51 points from 36 games, while Barcelona SC sit 6th on 49 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Libertad's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Tecnico Universitario 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Barcelona SC's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Guayaquil City FC 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Libertad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Libertad and 1.1 for Barcelona SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Libertad 36%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Libertad 1–1 Barcelona SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad36%fair 2.78 · @2.78
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Barcelona SC40%fair 2.51 · @2.52
2.16Expected goals
1.04Libertad xG
1.12Barcelona SC xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Libertad 1.0 – 1.1 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona SC to win✗
40%
2.51
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barcelona SC / FT Barcelona SC✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.76
–
Form
Libertad – last 4
LWLW
13 Mar
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs LDU de Quito
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
0–3
L
24 Feb
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Barcelona SC – last 5
DWDLL
16 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Botafogo
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Botafogo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad and Barcelona SC.
What is the prediction for Libertad vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Libertad vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers Libertad have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barcelona SC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is Libertad 1–1 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs Barcelona SC?
Libertad vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
