Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Viettel to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultViettel to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceViettel or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.57
Viettel vs Phu Dong preview and prediction
The match
Viettel host Phu Dong in the V.League 1 on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 13:15 (WAT) at Hang Day Stadium. Viettel are 2nd with 54 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Phu Dong sit 3rd on 51 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Viettel's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Da Nang 3–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Phu Dong's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Ha Noi 2–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Viettel arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Viettel and 0.8 for Phu Dong. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Viettel 64%, draw 22%, Phu Dong 14%.
Safer route: Viettel or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Viettel to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Viettel or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Viettel 2–0 Phu Dong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Viettel64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.45
Phu Dong14%fair 7.26 · @3.65
2.86Expected goals
2.02Viettel xG
0.84Phu Dong xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Viettel 2.0 – 0.8 Phu Dong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Viettel to win✗
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Viettel or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Half-time result
Viettel ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Viettel / FT Viettel✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.57
–
Form
Viettel – last 6
DWWDWW
26 Apr
@ Da Nang
3–3
D
19 Apr
vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Thanh Hóa
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Song Lam Nghe An
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Hai Phong
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Binh Duong
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Phu Dong – last 6
LWWWLD
24 Apr
vs Ha Noi
2–3
L
12 Apr
@ Binh Duong
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Hoang Anh Gia Lai
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Pho Hien
3–2
W
14 Mar
vs Công An Nhân Dân
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Da Nang
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Viettel and Phu Dong.
Our pick is Viettel or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Viettel vs Phu Dong?
On our numbers Viettel have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Phu Dong 14%.
How many goals will there be in Viettel vs Phu Dong?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Viettel vs Phu Dong?
Our predicted score is Viettel 2–0 Phu Dong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Viettel vs Phu Dong?
Viettel vs Phu Dong (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Hang Day Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
