Value bet: Hoang Anh Gia Lai to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSong Lam Nghe An to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Song Lam Nghe An vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai preview and prediction
The match
Song Lam Nghe An host Hoang Anh Gia Lai in the V.League 1 on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Vinh Stadium. Song Lam Nghe An are 9th with 27 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Hoang Anh Gia Lai sit 10th on 26 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Song Lam Nghe An's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Công An Nhân Dân 2–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Hoang Anh Gia Lai's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Hai Phong 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Song Lam Nghe An arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Song Lam Nghe An and 1.1 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Song Lam Nghe An 44%, draw 22%, Hoang Anh Gia Lai 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Hoang Anh Gia Lai to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Song Lam Nghe An 1–1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Song Lam Nghe An44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Hoang Anh Gia Lai34%fair 2.92 · @3.25
2.47Expected goals
1.34Song Lam Nghe An xG
1.14Hoang Anh Gia Lai xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Song Lam Nghe An 1.3 – 1.1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Song Lam Nghe An to win✗
44%
2.28
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Song Lam Nghe An / FT Song Lam Nghe An✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.86
–
Form
Song Lam Nghe An – last 6
LDDLWW
26 Apr
@ Công An Nhân Dân
2–4
L
19 Apr
@ Thanh Hóa
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Viettel
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Ha Noi
0–3
L
7 Mar
vs Hai Phong
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hoang Anh Gia Lai – last 6
DLLDLL
24 Apr
vs Hai Phong
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Viettel
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Phu Dong
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Da Nang
3–3
D
7 Mar
vs Ho Chi Minh
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Công An Nhân Dân
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Song Lam Nghe An and Hoang Anh Gia Lai.
What is the prediction for Song Lam Nghe An vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Song Lam Nghe An vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?
On our numbers Song Lam Nghe An have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hoang Anh Gia Lai 34%.
How many goals will there be in Song Lam Nghe An vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Song Lam Nghe An vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?
Our predicted score is Song Lam Nghe An 1–1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Song Lam Nghe An vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?
Song Lam Nghe An vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Vinh Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
