Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Cerro to win @ 3.50 – our chance 39% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +38%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro to win ✗39% · @3.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Albion FC vs Cerro preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Apertura sees Albion FC take on Cerro on Monday 16 February, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Luis Franzini. Albion FC are 12th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Cerro sit 9th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Albion FC and 1.1 for Cerro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Albion FC 35%, draw 26%, Cerro 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Cerro to win at 3.50 – 39% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Albion FC 0–1 Cerro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albion FC35%fair 2.87 · @2.18
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.90
Cerro39%fair 2.54 · @3.50
2.08Expected goals
1.00Albion FC xG
1.08Cerro xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Albion FC 1.0 – 1.1 Cerro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro to win✗
39%
2.54
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Albion FC
No recent results on record.
Cerro
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albion FC and Cerro.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Albion FC vs Cerro?
On our numbers Albion FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cerro 39%.
How many goals will there be in Albion FC vs Cerro?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albion FC vs Cerro?
Our predicted score is Albion FC 0–1 Cerro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Albion FC vs Cerro?
Albion FC vs Cerro (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
