Penarol travel to face Central Espanol in the Primera División Apertura on Monday 16 February (00:30 WAT). Central Espanol are 16th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Penarol sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.8 for Central Espanol and 2.2 for Penarol. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Central Espanol 11%, draw 21%, Penarol 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Central Espanol 0–2 Penarol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Central Espanol11%fair 8.71 · @7.50
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.10
Penarol68%fair 1.48 · @1.41
3.07Expected goals
0.84Central Espanol xG
2.23Penarol xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Central Espanol 0.8 – 2.2 Penarol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penarol to win✗
68%
1.48
1.41
Double chance
Penarol or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.33
Half-time result
Penarol ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penarol / FT Penarol✗
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.69
–
Form
Central Espanol
No recent results on record.
Penarol
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Espanol and Penarol.
What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Penarol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Central Espanol vs Penarol?
On our numbers Central Espanol have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Penarol 68%.
How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Penarol?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Penarol?
Our predicted score is Central Espanol 0–2 Penarol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Central Espanol vs Penarol?
Central Espanol vs Penarol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
