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Today's tips
J2 League · Japan · Heiwado HATO Stadium

Biwako Shiga

LWLLL
1–0
FT

Kitakyushu

LWLWL

Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Biwako Shiga to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultKitakyushu to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.40

Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu preview and prediction

The match

Biwako Shiga host Kitakyushu in the J2 League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 07:30 (WAT) at Heiwado HATO Stadium.

Form guide

Biwako Shiga's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Gainare Tottori 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Kitakyushu's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Roasso Kumamoto 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Kitakyushu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Kitakyushu 1–2 Biwako Shiga.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Biwako Shiga and 1.3 for Kitakyushu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Biwako Shiga 1–1 Kitakyushu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Biwako Shiga35%fair 2.86 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Kitakyushu41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
2.52Expected goals
1.20Biwako Shiga xG
1.33Kitakyushu xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Biwako Shiga 1.2 – 1.3 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKitakyushu to win ✗41%2.432.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.431.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kitakyushu / FT Kitakyushu ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.40–

Form

Biwako Shiga – last 6

LWLLLL
13 May@ Gainare Tottori2–3L
10 Mayvs Kagoshima United1–0W
6 Mayvs Renofa Yamaguchi1–4L
3 May@ Roasso Kumamoto0–2L
29 Aprvs Gainare Tottori1–3L
25 Apr@ Sagan Tosu0–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kitakyushu – last 6

LWLWLW
6 Mayvs Roasso Kumamoto1–2L
3 Mayvs Oita Trinita2–1W
29 Apr@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–3L
18 Apr@ FC Ryukyu2–0W
12 Aprvs Sagan Tosu0–1L
29 Marvs FC Ryukyu1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Kitakyushu v Biwako Shiga1–2
Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

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FT Yokohama FC1 Tochigi SC0 161%1.77X23%3.40216%4.10 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✗
FT Blaublitz Akita3 Thespakusatsu Gunma1 143%2.05X22%3.10235%3.45 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✗
– Iwaki1 Matsumoto Yamaga1 Pens 3–3 161%1.85X24%3.40215%3.40 1XIwaki or draw 85%@1.25 ✓
FT Omiya Ardija1 Parceiro Nagano2 164%1.30X20%4.75216%6.50 GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.67 ✓
– Osaka1 Kanazawa1 Pens 2–3 164%1.95X22%3.10214%3.75 1XOsaka or draw 86%@1.20 ✓
– Kataller Toyama2 Tokushima Vortis2 Pens 5–6 146%2.05X20%3.40234%2.90 GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.80 ✓
FT Kochi United0 Ehime FC1 136%2.75X24%3.10240%2.30 GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.80 ✗
FT Imabari1 Kamatamare Sanuki2 160%1.73X24%3.35216%4.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu?

On our numbers Biwako Shiga have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kitakyushu 41%.

How many goals will there be in Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu?

Our predicted score is Biwako Shiga 1–1 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu?

Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time) at Heiwado HATO Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.