Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 17 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultKataller Toyama to win ✗46% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.80

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32

Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis preview and prediction

The match

The J2 League sees Kataller Toyama take on Tokushima Vortis on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Toyama Stadium. Kataller Toyama are 3rd with 31 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Tokushima Vortis sit 15th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Kataller Toyama's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Ehime FC 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Tokushima Vortis's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Nara Club 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.

Kataller Toyama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Tokushima Vortis 1–3 Kataller Toyama.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for Kataller Toyama and 1.5 for Tokushima Vortis. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Kataller Toyama 46%, draw 20%, Tokushima Vortis 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.80.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kataller Toyama 1–1 Tokushima Vortis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Kataller Toyama46%fair 2.19 · @2.05

Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.40

Tokushima Vortis34%fair 2.95 · @2.90

3.38Expected goals

1.83Kataller Toyama xG

1.55Tokushima Vortis xG

62%Both score

66%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%

2–19%

1–27%

2–27%

1–06%

2–06%

From our goals model: Kataller Toyama 1.8 – 1.5 Tokushima Vortis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Kataller Toyama to win ✗	46%	2.19	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	80%	1.26	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	56%	1.78	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	37%	2.71	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama ✗	27%	3.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.32	–

Form

Kataller Toyama – last 6

WWWWWW

10 May	@ Ehime FC	2–0	W
3 May	@ Kanazawa	1–0	W
29 Apr	vs Albirex Niigata	2–0	W
25 Apr	@ Imabari	2–1	W
19 Apr	vs Kochi United	4–0	W
11 Apr	@ Osaka	2–1	W

2.2Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Tokushima Vortis – last 6

LLLLWW

10 May	vs Nara Club	1–2	L
6 May	@ Albirex Niigata	0–1	L
2 May	vs Ehime FC	0–6	L
26 Apr	@ Kochi United	1–2	L
18 Apr	vs Kanazawa	2–1	W
12 Apr	@ Kamatamare Sanuki	5–0	W

1.5Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

On our numbers Kataller Toyama have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tokushima Vortis 34%.

How many goals will there be in Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Our predicted score is Kataller Toyama 1–1 Tokushima Vortis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyama Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Kataller Toyama

Tokushima Vortis

Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis prediction & analysis

Both teams to score

Quick tips for this match

Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis preview and prediction

The match

Form guide

Head to head

Goals outlook

Betting angles

Our prediction

Win chances

Most likely scores

Every market, with fair odds

Form

Kataller Toyama – last 6

Tokushima Vortis – last 6

Head to head

J2 League table

More J2 League predictions

Frequently asked questions