Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Kagoshima United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKagoshima United to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.80
Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Kagoshima United take on Roasso Kumamoto on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Shiranami Stadium.
Form guide
Kagoshima United's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Biwako Shiga 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Roasso Kumamoto's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to FC Ryukyu 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Roasso Kumamoto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Roasso Kumamoto 0–1 Kagoshima United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Kagoshima United and 0.6 for Roasso Kumamoto. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kagoshima United 59%, draw 25%, Roasso Kumamoto 16%.
Safer route: Kagoshima United or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kagoshima United to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Kagoshima United 1–0 Roasso Kumamoto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kagoshima United59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
Roasso Kumamoto16%fair 6.24 · @4.60
2.19Expected goals
1.54Kagoshima United xG
0.65Roasso Kumamoto xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Kagoshima United 1.5 – 0.6 Roasso Kumamoto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our pick is Kagoshima United to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?
On our numbers Kagoshima United have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Roasso Kumamoto 16%.
How many goals will there be in Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our predicted score is Kagoshima United 1–0 Roasso Kumamoto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.