Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 3 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultOmiya Ardija to win ✓68% · @1.55

Double chanceOmiya Ardija or draw ✓87% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.10

Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija preview and prediction

The match

Fukushima United host Omiya Ardija in the J2 League on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 06:03 (WAT) at Toho.

Form guide

Fukushima United's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Parceiro Nagano 3–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Omiya Ardija's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Ventforet Kofu 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Omiya Ardija 6–0 Fukushima United.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.1 for Fukushima United and 2.7 for Omiya Ardija. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Fukushima United 13%, draw 19%, Omiya Ardija 68%.
Safer route: Omiya Ardija or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.70.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Omiya Ardija to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fukushima United 1–2 Omiya Ardija. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Fukushima United13%fair 7.74 · @4.60

Draw19%fair 5.32 · @3.80

Omiya Ardija68%fair 1.46 · @1.55

3.81Expected goals

1.15Fukushima United xG

2.66Omiya Ardija xG

62%Both score

73%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–29%

1–38%

0–28%

0–37%

1–17%

0–16%

From our goals model: Fukushima United 1.1 – 2.7 Omiya Ardija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Omiya Ardija to win ✓	68%	1.46	1.55 ▲
Double chance	Omiya Ardija or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	53%	1.89	–
Half-time result	Omiya Ardija ahead at half-time ✗	52%	1.91	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija ✗	47%	2.12	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	9%	11.10	–

Form

Fukushima United – last 6

WLLLWL

29 Apr	@ Parceiro Nagano	3–1	W
25 Apr	vs Ventforet Kofu	0–1	L
19 Apr	vs FC Gifu	1–2	L
12 Apr	vs Iwaki	2–3	L
4 Apr	@ Consadole Sapporo	2–0	W
29 Mar	vs Matsumoto Yamaga	1–3	L

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Omiya Ardija – last 6

LLLWLW

29 Apr	vs Ventforet Kofu	1–2	L
18 Apr	vs Jubilo Iwata	1–2	L
12 Apr	@ Matsumoto Yamaga	1–4	L
4 Apr	vs FC Gifu	3–0	W
28 Mar	@ Ventforet Kofu	1–2	L
21 Mar	@ Jubilo Iwata	4–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija?

Our pick is Omiya Ardija to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija?

On our numbers Fukushima United have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Omiya Ardija 68%.

How many goals will there be in Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija?

Our predicted score is Fukushima United 1–2 Omiya Ardija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija?

Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 06:03 (West Africa Time) at Toho.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes