Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 3 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗39% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.58

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu preview and prediction

The match

The J2 League sees Matsumoto Yamaga take on Ventforet Kofu on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 05:03 (WAT) at Sunpro Alwin.

Form guide

Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Parceiro Nagano 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.

Ventforet Kofu's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Omiya Ardija 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Ventforet Kofu 1–0 Matsumoto Yamaga.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.2 for Ventforet Kofu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Matsumoto Yamaga 39%, draw 24%, Ventforet Kofu 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Ventforet Kofu to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Ventforet Kofu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Matsumoto Yamaga39%fair 2.54 · @2.25

Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10

Ventforet Kofu36%fair 2.76 · @3.10

2.51Expected goals

1.29Matsumoto Yamaga xG

1.22Ventforet Kofu xG

58%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

1–010%

0–110%

2–18%

0–08%

1–28%

From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.3 – 1.2 Ventforet Kofu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Matsumoto Yamaga to win ✗	39%	2.54	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.71	1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.79	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.31	1.20
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗	22%	4.57	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	10%	9.58	–

Form

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6

LLWWWW

26 Apr	vs Parceiro Nagano	0–1	L
18 Apr	@ Consadole Sapporo	1–2	L
12 Apr	vs Omiya Ardija	4–1	W
29 Mar	@ Fukushima United	3–1	W
14 Mar	@ Parceiro Nagano	5–0	W
7 Mar	vs Consadole Sapporo	3–0	W

2.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Ventforet Kofu – last 6

WWLWLW

29 Apr	@ Omiya Ardija	2–1	W
25 Apr	@ Fukushima United	1–0	W
18 Apr	vs Fujieda MYFC	0–1	L
11 Apr	vs Consadole Sapporo	2–1	W
4 Apr	@ Jubilo Iwata	0–1	L
28 Mar	vs Omiya Ardija	2–1	W

1.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ventforet Kofu 36%.

How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Ventforet Kofu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 05:03 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes