Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi SC Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 3 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultMontedio Yamagata to win ✗46% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi SC preview and prediction

The match

The J2 League sees Montedio Yamagata take on Tochigi SC on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 06:03 (WAT) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.

Form guide

Montedio Yamagata's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Blaublitz Akita 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Tochigi SC's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Tochigi City 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Tochigi SC 1–2 Montedio Yamagata.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.2 for Tochigi SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Montedio Yamagata 46%, draw 22%, Tochigi SC 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tochigi SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Montedio Yamagata46%fair 2.16 · @2.30

Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.10

Tochigi SC32%fair 3.15 · @2.70

2.77Expected goals

1.55Montedio Yamagata xG

1.22Tochigi SC xG

59%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–18%

2–07%

1–27%

From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.5 – 1.2 Tochigi SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Montedio Yamagata to win ✗	46%	2.16	2.30 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	78%	1.28	1.36 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.69	1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.91	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Montedio Yamagata / FT Montedio Yamagata ✗	27%	3.75	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	10%	10.33	–

Form

Montedio Yamagata – last 6

LLWWWL

29 Apr	@ Blaublitz Akita	0–2	L
25 Apr	@ Vegalta Sendai	0–1	L
19 Apr	vs Vanraure Hachinohe	1–0	W
12 Apr	vs Yokohama FC	1–0	W
5 Apr	@ Vanraure Hachinohe	2–0	W
29 Mar	vs Tochigi City	1–2	L

0.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Tochigi SC – last 6

LLWLWW

25 Apr	@ Tochigi City	1–2	L
19 Apr	vs Sagamihara	0–2	L
12 Apr	vs Thespakusatsu Gunma	5–1	W
8 Apr	vs Vanraure Hachinohe	0–3	L
28 Mar	@ Thespakusatsu Gunma	3–1	W
22 Mar	vs Tochigi City	3–2	W

2.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi SC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi SC?

On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tochigi SC 32%.

How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi SC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi SC?

Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tochigi SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi SC?

Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi SC (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 06:03 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes