Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Kataller Toyama or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Kataller Toyama to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKataller Toyama to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceKataller Toyama or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata preview and prediction
The match
Kataller Toyama host Albirex Niigata in the J2 League on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Toyama Stadium. Kataller Toyama are 3rd with 31 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Albirex Niigata sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kataller Toyama's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Imabari 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Albirex Niigata's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Osaka 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kataller Toyama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Albirex Niigata 2–3 Kataller Toyama.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Kataller Toyama and 0.8 for Albirex Niigata. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Kataller Toyama or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Kataller Toyama to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kataller Toyama or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kataller Toyama 1–0 Albirex Niigata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kataller Toyama63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.25
Albirex Niigata13%fair 7.67 · @3.70
2.82Expected goals
2.00Kataller Toyama xG
0.82Albirex Niigata xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kataller Toyama 2.0 – 0.8 Albirex Niigata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?
Our pick is Kataller Toyama or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?
On our numbers Kataller Toyama have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Albirex Niigata 13%.
How many goals will there be in Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?
Our predicted score is Kataller Toyama 1–0 Albirex Niigata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?
Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyama Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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