Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSagamihara to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Sagamihara vs Tochigi City preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Sagamihara take on Tochigi City on Wednesday 29 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.
Form guide
Sagamihara's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Tochigi SC 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tochigi City's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Tochigi SC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Sagamihara and 1.5 for Tochigi City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sagamihara 39%, draw 24%, Tochigi City 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sagamihara 1–1 Tochigi City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sagamihara39%fair 2.56 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Tochigi City37%fair 2.70 · @2.88
3.11Expected goals
1.58Sagamihara xG
1.53Tochigi City xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Sagamihara 1.6 – 1.5 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagamihara to win✓
39%
2.56
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagamihara / FT Sagamihara✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Form
Sagamihara – last 6
WLLLWW
19 Apr
@ Tochigi SC
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Vegalta Sendai
0–3
L
21 Mar
vs Yokohama FC
2–4
L
14 Mar
@ Vegalta Sendai
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs Tochigi SC
4–0
W
4 Mar
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
5–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tochigi City – last 6
WLLWLW
25 Apr
vs Tochigi SC
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Vegalta Sendai
0–5
L
12 Apr
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
2–4
L
29 Mar
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tochigi SC
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagamihara and Tochigi City.
What is the prediction for Sagamihara vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Sagamihara have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tochigi City 37%.
How many goals will there be in Sagamihara vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagamihara vs Tochigi City?
Our predicted score is Sagamihara 1–1 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sagamihara vs Tochigi City?
Sagamihara vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Gifu1
Tochigi SC1
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Osaka2