Value bet: Shonan Bellmare to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare preview and prediction
The match
Tochigi SC host Shonan Bellmare in the J2 League on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Form guide
Tochigi SC's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Tochigi City 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Shonan Bellmare's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Shonan Bellmare arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Tochigi SC and 1.7 for Shonan Bellmare. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Shonan Bellmare to win at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Tochigi SC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tochigi SC27%fair 3.72 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Shonan Bellmare51%fair 1.95 · @2.10
2.88Expected goals
1.17Tochigi SC xG
1.71Shonan Bellmare xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Tochigi SC 1.2 – 1.7 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shonan Bellmare to win✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.40
–
Form
Tochigi SC – last 6
LLWLWW
25 Apr
@ Tochigi City
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Sagamihara
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
5–1
W
8 Apr
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
0–3
L
28 Mar
@ Thespakusatsu Gunma
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Tochigi City
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Shonan Bellmare – last 6
LWWWWW
18 Apr
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Blaublitz Akita
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ Yokohama FC
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ Thespakusatsu Gunma
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Tochigi City
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi SC and Shonan Bellmare.
What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare?
On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shonan Bellmare 51%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our predicted score is Tochigi SC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare?
Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Gifu1
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Sagamihara1
Osaka2