Friday, 13 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
J2 League · Japan · Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu

Kitakyushu

WWLLL
0–1
FT

Sagan Tosu

LWWWL

Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSagan Tosu to win ✓49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.65

Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu preview and prediction

The match

Sagan Tosu travel to Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu in the J2 League on Sunday 12 April (06:00 WAT) to face Kitakyushu.

Form guide

Kitakyushu's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat FC Ryukyu 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Sagan Tosu's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Oita Trinita 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sagan Tosu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Sagan Tosu 1–0 Kitakyushu.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Kitakyushu and 1.5 for Sagan Tosu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Kitakyushu 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Kitakyushu29%fair 3.42 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Sagan Tosu49%fair 2.05 · @2.10
2.55Expected goals
1.07Kitakyushu xG
1.48Sagan Tosu xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Kitakyushu 1.1 – 1.5 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSagan Tosu to win ✓49%2.052.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu ✓28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12%8.65–

Form

Kitakyushu – last 6

WWLLLL
29 Marvs FC Ryukyu1–0W
22 Mar@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–0W
14 Mar@ Sagan Tosu0–1L
7 Marvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–3L
28 Febvs Biwako Shiga1–2L
22 Feb@ Roasso Kumamoto1–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sagan Tosu – last 6

LWWWLL
5 Aprvs Oita Trinita0–1L
29 Mar@ Gainare Tottori2–0W
22 Mar@ Biwako Shiga2–0W
14 Marvs Kitakyushu1–0W
7 Mar@ Renofa Yamaguchi0–2L
28 Febvs Kagoshima United0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Sagan Tosu v Kitakyushu1–0
Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
– Parceiro Nagano1 Jubilo Iwata1 Pens 1–4 115%4.60X23%3.50262%1.68 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Montedio Yamagata1 Yokohama FC0 130%3.20X22%3.20248%2.10 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✗
FT Blaublitz Akita0 Shonan Bellmare1 139%2.62X25%3.00235%2.60 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Sagamihara0 Vegalta Sendai3 113%3.80X26%3.40261%1.85 X2Vegalta Sendai or draw 87%@1.20 ✓
FT Tochigi City2 Vanraure Hachinohe4 139%2.50X25%3.00235%2.70 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗
FT Tochigi SC5 Thespakusatsu Gunma1 148%2.10X22%3.10230%3.25 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓
FT Matsumoto Yamaga4 Omiya Ardija1 114%3.75X24%3.50262%1.83 X2Omiya Ardija or draw 86%@1.20 ✗
FT Fukushima United2 Iwaki3 114%4.60X23%3.85264%1.62 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu?

On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sagan Tosu 49%.

How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu?

Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu?

Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.