Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Vegalta Sendai or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Vegalta Sendai to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVegalta Sendai to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceVegalta Sendai or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.03
Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Sagamihara take on Vegalta Sendai on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.
Form guide
Sagamihara's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Yokohama FC 2–4 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Vegalta Sendai's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Montedio Yamagata 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vegalta Sendai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Vegalta Sendai 3–1 Sagamihara.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Sagamihara and 2.0 for Vegalta Sendai. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Vegalta Sendai or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Vegalta Sendai to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vegalta Sendai or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sagamihara 0–2 Vegalta Sendai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sagamihara13%fair 7.79 · @3.80
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.40
Vegalta Sendai61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
2.94Expected goals
0.89Sagamihara xG
2.05Vegalta Sendai xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sagamihara 0.9 – 2.0 Vegalta Sendai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai?
Our pick is Vegalta Sendai or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai?
On our numbers Sagamihara have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Vegalta Sendai 61%.
How many goals will there be in Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai?
Our predicted score is Sagamihara 0–2 Vegalta Sendai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai?
Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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