Value bet: Kochi United to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKochi United to win ✓39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Kochi United vs Albirex Niigata preview and prediction
The match
Albirex Niigata travel to Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium in the J2 League on Sunday 12 April (06:00 WAT) to face Kochi United.
Form guide
Kochi United's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Kamatamare Sanuki 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Albirex Niigata's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Kataller Toyama 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kochi United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Kochi United and 1.3 for Albirex Niigata. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kochi United 39%, draw 25%, Albirex Niigata 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Kochi United to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Kochi United 1–1 Albirex Niigata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kochi United39%fair 2.59 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.00
Albirex Niigata37%fair 2.71 · @2.40
2.63Expected goals
1.33Kochi United xG
1.30Albirex Niigata xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kochi United 1.3 – 1.3 Albirex Niigata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kochi United to win✓
39%
2.59
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kochi United / FT Kochi United✓
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.43
–
Form
Kochi United – last 6
WLLWWW
5 Apr
vs Kamatamare Sanuki
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Tokushima Vortis
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ Ehime FC
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs Imabari
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Nara Club
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Kanazawa
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Albirex Niigata – last 4
LWWL
20 Mar
vs Kataller Toyama
2–3
L
1 Mar
@ Imabari
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Tokushima Vortis
0–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kochi United and Albirex Niigata.
What is the prediction for Kochi United vs Albirex Niigata?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Kochi United vs Albirex Niigata?
On our numbers Kochi United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Albirex Niigata 37%.
How many goals will there be in Kochi United vs Albirex Niigata?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kochi United vs Albirex Niigata?
Our predicted score is Kochi United 1–1 Albirex Niigata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kochi United vs Albirex Niigata?
Kochi United vs Albirex Niigata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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