Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.66 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSagan Tosu to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.05
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu preview and prediction
The match
Tegevajaro Miyazaki host Sagan Tosu in the J2 League on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Unilever Stadium Shintomi. Tegevajaro Miyazaki are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sagan Tosu sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.8 for Sagan Tosu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 65%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.66 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tegevajaro Miyazaki37%fair 2.73 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Sagan Tosu41%fair 2.45 · @2.05
3.52Expected goals
1.71Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG
1.81Sagan Tosu xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.7 – 1.8 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagan Tosu to win✗
41%
2.45
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.66 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.05
–
Form
Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Gainare Tottori
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sagan Tosu
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Sagan Tosu.
What is the prediction for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Tegevajaro Miyazaki have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sagan Tosu 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu?
Our predicted score is Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu?
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Unilever Stadium Shintomi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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