Jubilo Iwata vs Matsumoto Yamaga prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Jubilo Iwata or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.21 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
1
Value bet: Jubilo Iwata to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJubilo Iwata to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceJubilo Iwata or draw ✗85% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Jubilo Iwata vs Matsumoto Yamaga preview and prediction
The match
Matsumoto Yamaga travel to Yamaha Stadium in the J2 League on Saturday 21 February (06:00 WAT) to face Jubilo Iwata.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Jubilo Iwata and 0.7 for Matsumoto Yamaga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Jubilo Iwata to win at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Jubilo Iwata or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.21, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jubilo Iwata 1–0 Matsumoto Yamaga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jubilo Iwata63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.50
Matsumoto Yamaga15%fair 6.82 · @4.00
2.48Expected goals
1.78Jubilo Iwata xG
0.71Matsumoto Yamaga xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Jubilo Iwata 1.8 – 0.7 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jubilo Iwata to win✗
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Jubilo Iwata or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.78
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.34
Half-time result
Jubilo Iwata ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jubilo Iwata / FT Jubilo Iwata✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
Jubilo Iwata – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ FC Gifu
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 1
L
14 Feb
@ Fujieda MYFC
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jubilo Iwata and Matsumoto Yamaga.
What is the prediction for Jubilo Iwata vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our pick is Jubilo Iwata or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Jubilo Iwata vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
On our numbers Jubilo Iwata have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Matsumoto Yamaga 15%.
How many goals will there be in Jubilo Iwata vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jubilo Iwata vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our predicted score is Jubilo Iwata 1–0 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Jubilo Iwata vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Jubilo Iwata vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Yamaha Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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