Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Pakhtakor to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPakhtakor to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Olmaliq vs Pakhtakor preview and prediction
The match
Olmaliq host Pakhtakor in the Super League on Wednesday 9 September, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at OKMK Sport Majmuasi. Olmaliq are 5th with 45 points from 27 games (in the top half), while Pakhtakor sit 2nd on 59 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Olmaliq's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Xorazm 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Pakhtakor's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Andijan 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pakhtakor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Pakhtakor 3–1 Olmaliq.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Olmaliq and 1.8 for Pakhtakor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Pakhtakor to win at 1.83 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pakhtakor or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Olmaliq 0–1 Pakhtakor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olmaliq20%fair 5.11 · @3.50
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.40
Pakhtakor61%fair 1.65 · @1.83
2.63Expected goals
0.86Olmaliq xG
1.77Pakhtakor xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Olmaliq 0.9 – 1.8 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Pakhtakor or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Olmaliq vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Olmaliq have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pakhtakor 61%.
How many goals will there be in Olmaliq vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olmaliq vs Pakhtakor?
Our predicted score is Olmaliq 0–1 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Olmaliq vs Pakhtakor?
Olmaliq vs Pakhtakor (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at OKMK Sport Majmuasi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
