Super League · Uzbekistan · Markaziy StadiumNasaf vs Bunyodkor prediction & analysis
Nasaf to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Nasaf 1.8 – 0.6 Bunyodkor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Nasaf are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 12% for Bunyodkor.
Nasaf have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Bunyodkor have 0 points from their last 6 (0W 0D 6L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded. Nasaf come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for Nasaf, 0.6 for Bunyodkor). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (15%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Nasaf have won 1, Bunyodkor have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Nasaf to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.46.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Nasaf to win ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Nasaf or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Nasaf ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Nasaf / FT Nasaf ✓ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.22 | – |
Form
Nasaf – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Neftchi | 6–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Navbahor | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Aug | @ Qizilqum | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Aug | @ Navbahor | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Pakhtakor | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Kokand-1912 | 0–0 | D |
Bunyodkor – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Surkhon | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Aug | @ Lokomotiv | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Aug | vs Kokand-1912 | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Navbahor | 3–4 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Olmaliq | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Jul | vs Pakhtakor | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 16 Jul 2026 | Bunyodkor v Nasaf | 1–3 |
Super League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 26 | +38 | 61 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 27 | +22 | 59 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 27 | +21 | 55 |
| 4 |  Nasaf | 27 | +15 | 45 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 27 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 27 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 |  Buxoro | 27 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 27 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 |  Qizilqum | 27 | -7 | 35 |
| 10 |  Surkhon | 27 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |  Andijan | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |  Sogdiana | 27 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Xorazm | 27 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Bunyodkor | 26 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 |  Kokand-1912 | 27 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 27 | -41 | 5 |
More Super League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nasaf vs Bunyodkor?
Our pick is Nasaf to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Nasaf vs Bunyodkor?
On our numbers Nasaf have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bunyodkor 12%.
How many goals will there be in Nasaf vs Bunyodkor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Nasaf vs Bunyodkor?
Nasaf vs Bunyodkor (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.