Navbahor travel to Istiqlol Stadium in the Super League on Tuesday 28 July (16:00 WAT) to face Neftchi. Neftchi are 1st with 61 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Navbahor sit 3rd on 55 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Neftchi's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Sogdiana 5–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Navbahor's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Qizilqum 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Neftchi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Neftchi and 0.9 for Navbahor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Neftchi 57%, draw 20%, Navbahor 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Neftchi to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Neftchi 1–0 Navbahor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Neftchi57%fair 1.75 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.25
Navbahor23%fair 4.41 · @4.00
2.54Expected goals
1.64Neftchi xG
0.90Navbahor xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Neftchi 1.6 – 0.9 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi to win✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi / FT Neftchi✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.72
–
Form
Neftchi – last 6
WWLDWW
21 Jul
@ Sogdiana
5–1
W
16 Jul
vs Buxoro
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Zenit
1–4
L
3 May
@ Olmaliq
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
4–0
W
24 Apr
@ Xorazm
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Navbahor – last 6
DLDLDW
23 Jul
vs Qizilqum
1–1
D
17 Jul
vs Olmaliq
2–3
L
4 May
@ Nasaf
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Sogdiana
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neftchi and Navbahor.
Our pick is Neftchi to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Neftchi vs Navbahor?
On our numbers Neftchi have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Navbahor 23%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi vs Navbahor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi vs Navbahor?
Our predicted score is Neftchi 1–0 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Neftchi vs Navbahor?
Neftchi vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
