Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNasaf to win ✓61% · @1.57
Double chanceNasaf or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.76
Nasaf vs Qizilqum preview and prediction
The match
Nasaf host Qizilqum in the Super League on Tuesday 28 July, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Markaziy Stadium. Nasaf are 4th with 45 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Qizilqum sit 9th on 35 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nasaf's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Mash'al 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Qizilqum's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Navbahor 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Nasaf and 0.6 for Qizilqum. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nasaf 61%, draw 23%, Qizilqum 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nasaf to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Nasaf 1–0 Qizilqum. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nasaf61%fair 1.64 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Qizilqum17%fair 6.03 · @5.00
2.19Expected goals
1.55Nasaf xG
0.64Qizilqum xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Nasaf 1.6 – 0.6 Qizilqum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nasaf to win✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Double chance
Nasaf or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nasaf / FT Nasaf✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.76
–
Form
Nasaf – last 6
DWDDLD
22 Jul
@ Mash'al
1–1
D
16 Jul
@ Bunyodkor
3–1
W
4 May
vs Navbahor
0–0
D
28 Apr
@ Pakhtakor
2–2
D
23 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–3
L
13 Apr
vs Buxoro
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Qizilqum – last 6
DLLDWW
23 Jul
@ Navbahor
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
4 May
@ Lokomotiv
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Xorazm
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Surkhon
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nasaf and Qizilqum.
Our pick is Nasaf to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Nasaf vs Qizilqum?
On our numbers Nasaf have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Qizilqum 17%.
How many goals will there be in Nasaf vs Qizilqum?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasaf vs Qizilqum?
Our predicted score is Nasaf 1–0 Qizilqum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nasaf vs Qizilqum?
Nasaf vs Qizilqum (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
