Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSogdiana to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceSogdiana or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Sogdiana vs Xorazm preview and prediction
The match
Xorazm travel to Sogdiana Sport Complex in the Super League on Thursday 16 July (16:00 WAT) to face Sogdiana. Sogdiana are 12th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Xorazm sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sogdiana's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Surkhon 5–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Xorazm's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Andijan 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Sogdiana and 1.0 for Xorazm. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sogdiana 58%, draw 24%, Xorazm 18%.
Safer route: Sogdiana or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sogdiana or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sogdiana 1–1 Xorazm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sogdiana58%fair 1.71 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.10
Xorazm18%fair 5.64 · @4.00
3.00Expected goals
1.98Sogdiana xG
1.02Xorazm xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sogdiana 2.0 – 1.0 Xorazm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sogdiana to win✓
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Sogdiana or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Sogdiana ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sogdiana / FT Sogdiana✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Sogdiana – last 6
WDLWLD
28 Apr
vs Surkhon
5–2
W
23 Apr
@ Navbahor
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Bunyodkor
2–3
L
13 Apr
@ Qizilqum
3–1
W
8 Apr
@ Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Xorazm – last 6
LDLDDW
4 May
vs Andijan
0–3
L
29 Apr
@ Qizilqum
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Neftchi
0–2
L
14 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–2
D
7 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Dinamo Samarqand
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sogdiana and Xorazm.
Our pick is Sogdiana or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sogdiana vs Xorazm?
On our numbers Sogdiana have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Xorazm 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sogdiana vs Xorazm?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogdiana vs Xorazm?
Our predicted score is Sogdiana 1–1 Xorazm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sogdiana vs Xorazm?
Sogdiana vs Xorazm (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sogdiana Sport Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
