Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNasaf to win ✓38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.44
Bunyodkor vs Nasaf preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Bunyodkor take on Nasaf on Thursday 16 July, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Milliy Stadium. Bunyodkor are 14th with 26 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Nasaf sit 4th on 45 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bunyodkor's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Kokand-1912 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Nasaf's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Navbahor 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Bunyodkor and 1.1 for Nasaf. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bunyodkor 37%, draw 25%, Nasaf 38%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Bunyodkor 1–1 Nasaf. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bunyodkor37%fair 2.68 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Nasaf38%fair 2.62 · @2.38
2.27Expected goals
1.12Bunyodkor xG
1.14Nasaf xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bunyodkor 1.1 – 1.1 Nasaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nasaf to win✓
38%
2.62
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nasaf / FT Nasaf✗
20%
4.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.44
–
Form
Bunyodkor – last 6
LWLWLW
3 May
@ Kokand-1912
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Navbahor
2–1
W
24 Apr
vs Andijan
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Sogdiana
3–2
W
14 Apr
vs Neftchi
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Mash'al
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nasaf – last 6
DDLDDW
4 May
vs Navbahor
0–0
D
28 Apr
@ Pakhtakor
2–2
D
23 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–3
L
13 Apr
vs Buxoro
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Kokand-1912
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Andijan
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bunyodkor and Nasaf.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Bunyodkor vs Nasaf?
On our numbers Bunyodkor have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nasaf 38%.
How many goals will there be in Bunyodkor vs Nasaf?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bunyodkor vs Nasaf?
Our predicted score is Bunyodkor 1–1 Nasaf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bunyodkor vs Nasaf?
Bunyodkor vs Nasaf (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Milliy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
