Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓76% · @1.11
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓95% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa preview and prediction
The match
Grobiņa travel to LNK Sporta Parks in the Virsliga on Sunday 1 November (12:00 WAT) to face Rīgas FS. Rīgas FS are 1st with 89 points from 35 games (top of the table), while Grobiņa sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 60 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rīgas FS's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Super Nova 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Grobiņa's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Riga 2–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 August 2026, finished Rīgas FS 6–1 Grobiņa. Across their last 3 meetings Rīgas FS have won 3, Grobiņa 0, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.6 for Rīgas FS and 0.7 for Grobiņa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rīgas FS 76%, draw 19%, Grobiņa 5%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Rīgas FS 3–0 Grobiņa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rīgas FS76%fair 1.31 · @1.11
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @9.50
Grobiņa5%fair 19.23 · @17.00
3.32Expected goals
2.62Rīgas FS xG
0.70Grobiņa xG
51%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–011%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.6 – 0.7 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Grobiņa 5%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 3–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
