Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✓67% · @1.42
Double chanceBFC Daugavpils or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.38
BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums preview and prediction
The match
BFC Daugavpils host Tukums in the Virsliga on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadions Celtnieks. BFC Daugavpils are 4th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Tukums sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat FS Jelgava 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Tukums's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with FK Liepaja 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
BFC Daugavpils arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 2–0 Tukums. Across their last 3 meetings BFC Daugavpils have won 1, Tukums 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for BFC Daugavpils and 0.8 for Tukums. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: BFC Daugavpils 67%, draw 19%, Tukums 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: BFC Daugavpils 2–0 Tukums. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BFC Daugavpils67%fair 1.50 · @1.42
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @4.20
Tukums14%fair 7.04 · @5.50
2.88Expected goals
2.06BFC Daugavpils xG
0.82Tukums xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 2.1 – 0.8 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tukums 14%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 2–0 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
