Super Nova travel to Daugavas stadions in the Virsliga on Sunday 1 November (12:00 WAT) to face FK Liepaja. FK Liepaja are 5th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Super Nova sit 6th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Tukums 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Super Nova's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
FK Liepaja arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Super Nova 1–2 FK Liepaja. Across their last 3 meetings FK Liepaja have won 3, Super Nova 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for FK Liepaja and 0.8 for Super Nova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 68%, draw 17%, Super Nova 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 2–0 Super Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja68%fair 1.48 · @1.48
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @4.20
Super Nova15%fair 6.72 · @5.00
2.75Expected goals
1.99FK Liepaja xG
0.76Super Nova xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 2.0 – 0.8 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Super Nova 15%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 2–0 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
FK Liepaja vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
