The Liga 3 sees Fafe take on Paredes on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe. Fafe are 4th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Paredes sit 1st on 22 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Fafe's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with AD Marco 09 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Paredes's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to São João Ver 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Paredes 0–0 Fafe.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Fafe and 0.9 for Paredes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fafe 47%, draw 24%, Paredes 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fafe 1–1 Paredes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fafe47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.88
Paredes29%fair 3.43 · @3.70
2.17Expected goals
1.26Fafe xG
0.91Paredes xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fafe 1.3 – 0.9 Paredes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Fafe vs Paredes?
On our numbers Fafe have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paredes 29%.
How many goals will there be in Fafe vs Paredes?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fafe vs Paredes?
Our predicted score is Fafe 1–1 Paredes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Fafe vs Paredes?
Fafe vs Paredes (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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