Amarante host Guimaraes B in the Liga 3 on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Amarante Stadium.
Form guide
Amarante's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Trofense 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guimaraes B's last 4: LWWD Most recently they lost to Trofense 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Amarante arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Amarante and 1.0 for Guimaraes B. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amarante 40%, draw 27%, Guimaraes B 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Amarante 1–1 Guimaraes B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amarante40%fair 2.47 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.70
Guimaraes B33%fair 3.07 · @3.00
2.09Expected goals
1.12Amarante xG
0.97Guimaraes B xG
53%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Amarante 1.1 – 1.0 Guimaraes B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amarante to win✓
40%
2.47
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amarante / FT Amarante✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.21
–
Form
Amarante – last 3
WWW
8 Mar
vs Trofense
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ CF Os Belenenses
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Mafra
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guimaraes B – last 4
LWWD
15 Mar
vs Trofense
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Mafra
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ União Santarém
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs CF Os Belenenses
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amarante and Guimaraes B.
What is the prediction for Amarante vs Guimaraes B?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Amarante vs Guimaraes B?
On our numbers Amarante have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Guimaraes B 33%.
How many goals will there be in Amarante vs Guimaraes B?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amarante vs Guimaraes B?
Our predicted score is Amarante 1–1 Guimaraes B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Amarante vs Guimaraes B?
Amarante vs Guimaraes B (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Amarante Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Academica1