Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFafe to win ✗60% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.20
Fafe vs AD Marco 09 preview and prediction
The match
AD Marco 09 travel to Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe in the Liga 3 on Sunday 15 March (16:00 WAT) to face Fafe. Fafe are 4th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top four), while AD Marco 09 sit 3rd on 14 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fafe's last 4: DWLW Most recently they drew with Paredes 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
AD Marco 09's last 4: DWLL Most recently they drew with Sanjoanense 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Fafe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Fafe and 0.7 for AD Marco 09. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fafe 60%, draw 20%, AD Marco 09 20%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fafe to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Fafe 1–0 AD Marco 09. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fafe60%fair 1.67 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.25
AD Marco 0920%fair 4.89 · @4.60
2.25Expected goals
1.53Fafe xG
0.72AD Marco 09 xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Fafe 1.5 – 0.7 AD Marco 09 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fafe to win✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fafe / FT Fafe✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.20
–
Form
Fafe – last 4
DWLW
8 Mar
@ Paredes
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Sanjoanense
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ São João Ver
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs SC Braga B
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AD Marco 09 – last 4
DWLL
8 Mar
@ Sanjoanense
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs São João Ver
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ SC Braga B
0–2
L
14 Feb
vs Paredes
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fafe and AD Marco 09.
Our pick is Fafe to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Fafe vs AD Marco 09?
On our numbers Fafe have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AD Marco 09 20%.
How many goals will there be in Fafe vs AD Marco 09?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fafe vs AD Marco 09?
Our predicted score is Fafe 1–0 AD Marco 09, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fafe vs AD Marco 09?
Fafe vs AD Marco 09 (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanjoanense2
SC Braga B2
Academica2