Value bet: Fafe to win @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFafe to win ✗52% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.93
São João Ver vs Fafe preview and prediction
The match
Fafe travel to face São João Ver in the Liga 3 on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT). São João Ver are 9th with 9 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Fafe sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for São João Ver and 1.4 for Fafe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: São João Ver 27%, draw 21%, Fafe 52%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Fafe to win at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: São João Ver 0–1 Fafe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
São João Ver27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Fafe52%fair 1.93 · @2.05
2.26Expected goals
0.88São João Ver xG
1.38Fafe xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: São João Ver 0.9 – 1.4 Fafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fafe to win✗
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fafe / FT Fafe✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.93
–
Form
São João Ver
No recent results on record.
Fafe – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs SC Braga B
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São João Ver and Fafe.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win São João Ver vs Fafe?
On our numbers São João Ver have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fafe 52%.
How many goals will there be in São João Ver vs Fafe?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São João Ver vs Fafe?
Our predicted score is São João Ver 0–1 Fafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is São João Ver vs Fafe?
São João Ver vs Fafe (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amarante1
Academica