The Liga 3 sees Amarante take on Mafra on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Amarante Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Amarante and 1.2 for Mafra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amarante 34%, draw 25%, Mafra 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Amarante 1–1 Mafra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amarante34%fair 2.98 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Mafra41%fair 2.44 · @2.30
2.29Expected goals
1.07Amarante xG
1.22Mafra xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Amarante 1.1 – 1.2 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mafra to win✗
41%
2.44
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mafra / FT Mafra✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.10
–
Form
Amarante
No recent results on record.
Mafra – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Varzim
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amarante and Mafra.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Amarante vs Mafra?
On our numbers Amarante have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mafra 41%.
How many goals will there be in Amarante vs Mafra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amarante vs Mafra?
Our predicted score is Amarante 1–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Amarante vs Mafra?
Amarante vs Mafra (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Amarante Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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