Armenia vs Belarus prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Armenia to win @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Armenia 1.1 – 0.6 Belarus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Armenia hold the edge on home soil with a 55% chance of winning, against 23% for Belarus.
Belarus have 3 points from their last 1 (1W 0D 0L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
We expect around 1.7 goals (1.1 for Armenia, 0.6 for Belarus). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (21%), 0–0 (18%), 2–0 (12%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.20. For a bigger price, Armenia to win at 2.00 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Armenia to win ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.65 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Armenia / FT Armenia ✗ | 29% | 3.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 21% | 4.82 | – |
Form
Armenia
No recent results on record.
Belarus – last 1
| 26 Mar | @ Cyprus | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Armenia and Belarus.
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What is the prediction for Armenia vs Belarus?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Armenia vs Belarus?
On our numbers Armenia have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Belarus 23%.
How many goals will there be in Armenia vs Belarus?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Armenia vs Belarus?
Armenia vs Belarus (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.