Lithuania vs Georgia prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lithuania 0.9 – 1.9 Georgia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Georgia shade it despite being away from home – 60% to win, against 17% for Lithuania.
Lithuania have taken 3 points from their last 1 matches (1W 0D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.0 per game. Georgia have 1 points from their last 1 (0W 1D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Lithuania come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (0.9 for Lithuania, 1.9 for Georgia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.36.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Georgia to win ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | Georgia or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Georgia ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Georgia / FT Georgia ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.60 | – |
Form
Lithuania – last 1
| 26 Mar | @ Moldova | 2–0 | W |
Georgia – last 1
| 26 Mar | vs Israel | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lithuania and Georgia.
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France3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lithuania vs Georgia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Lithuania vs Georgia?
On our numbers Lithuania have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Georgia 60%.
How many goals will there be in Lithuania vs Georgia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Lithuania vs Georgia?
Lithuania vs Georgia (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.