Haiti vs Tunisia prediction & analysis
Tunisia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Tunisia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Haiti 0.6 – 1.6 Tunisia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tunisia travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 16% for Haiti.
We expect around 2.3 goals (0.6 for Haiti, 1.6 for Tunisia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (17%), 0–2 (14%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Tunisia or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Tunisia to win at 1.85 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tunisia to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Tunisia or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tunisia / FT Tunisia ✓ | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 17% | 5.93 | – |
Form
Haiti
No recent results on record.
Tunisia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haiti and Tunisia.
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France3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Haiti vs Tunisia?
Our pick is Tunisia or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Haiti vs Tunisia?
On our numbers Haiti have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tunisia 64%.
How many goals will there be in Haiti vs Tunisia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Haiti vs Tunisia?
Haiti vs Tunisia (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.