Hungary vs Greece prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hungary 1.0 – 0.8 Greece expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hungary hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 33% for Greece.
Greece have 0 points from their last 1 (0W 0D 1L), averaging 0.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 1.8 goals (1.0 for Hungary, 0.8 for Greece). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 0–0 (17%), 1–0 (17%), 0–1 (13%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hungary to win ✗ | 45% | 2.20 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✓ | 25% | 4.03 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.85 | – |
Form
Hungary
No recent results on record.
Greece – last 1
| 27 Mar | vs Paraguay | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hungary and Greece.
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Switzerland0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hungary vs Greece?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hungary vs Greece?
On our numbers Hungary have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Greece 33%.
How many goals will there be in Hungary vs Greece?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Hungary vs Greece?
Hungary vs Greece (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Puskás Aréna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.