Value bet: Sporting Cristal to win @ 1.68 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓65% · @1.68
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.32
Sporting Cristal vs ADT preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Sporting Cristal take on ADT on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Sporting Cristal are 2nd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while ADT sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting Cristal's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Junior 2–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
ADT's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Comerciantes Unidos 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
ADT arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Sporting Cristal and 0.8 for ADT. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Safer route: Sporting Cristal or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Sporting Cristal to win at 1.68 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sporting Cristal 2–0 ADT. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Cristal65%fair 1.55 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.75
ADT14%fair 7.06 · @4.85
2.81Expected goals
1.99Sporting Cristal xG
0.82ADT xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.0 – 0.8 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✓
65%
1.55
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Sporting Cristal or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Sporting Cristal ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.32
–
Form
Sporting Cristal – last 6
LDLWLL
21 May
@ Junior
2–3
L
10 May
@ Alianza Lima
1–1
D
5 May
vs Palmeiras
0–2
L
29 Apr
vs Junior
2–0
W
22 Apr
@ Atletico Grau
1–4
L
16 Apr
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ADT – last 6
WWLLDL
17 May
vs Comerciantes Unidos
2–0
W
27 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4–0
W
14 Apr
vs Alianza Lima
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Cienciano
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs FBC Melgar
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and ADT.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs ADT?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs ADT?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ADT 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs ADT?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs ADT?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–0 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs ADT?
Sporting Cristal vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
