Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Alianza Lima take on Club Deportivo Los Chankas on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Alianza Lima are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Alianza Lima's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Cienciano 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat UCV Moquegua 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Alianza Lima and 0.7 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Lima 68%, draw 20%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Alianza Lima 2–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Lima68%fair 1.46 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.60
Club Deportivo Los Chankas12%fair 8.23 · @8.70
2.62Expected goals
1.95Alianza Lima xG
0.66Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 2.0 – 0.7 Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win✓
68%
1.46
1.36
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Half-time result
Alianza Lima ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
Alianza Lima – last 6
WDWWWL
16 May
@ Cienciano
1–0
W
10 May
vs Sporting Cristal
1–1
D
3 May
vs UCV Moquegua
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Cusco
8–0
W
14 Apr
@ ADT
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Universitario
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 6
WDLLWW
17 May
vs UCV Moquegua
1–0
W
10 May
@ Cusco
1–1
D
4 May
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ ADT
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Cienciano
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Atletico Grau
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Lima and Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 12%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 2–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
