Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓91% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Alianza Atletico take on FC Cajamarca on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Alianza Atletico are 7th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while FC Cajamarca sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Alianza Atletico's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Macara 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
FC Cajamarca's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat UTC Cajamarca 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Alianza Atletico and 0.6 for FC Cajamarca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Atletico 69%, draw 22%, FC Cajamarca 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Atletico to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.58, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1–0 FC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Atletico69%fair 1.45 · @1.58
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.75
FC Cajamarca9%fair 10.96 · @5.90
2.60Expected goals
1.99Alianza Atletico xG
0.61FC Cajamarca xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 2.0 – 0.6 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win✗
69%
1.45
1.58 ▲
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Alianza Atletico ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
Alianza Atletico – last 6
DLLLWL
22 May
@ Macara
0–0
D
11 May
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
1–2
L
7 May
vs America de Cali
0–2
L
1 May
vs Macara
0–2
L
27 Apr
@ Universitario
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Comerciantes Unidos
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Cajamarca – last 6
WLLLLL
8 May
@ UTC Cajamarca
2–1
W
23 Apr
@ Cusco
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Cienciano
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–4
L
6 Mar
@ Atletico Grau
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and FC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Alianza Atletico to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Cajamarca 9%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
