UCV Moquegua vs Universitario prediction & analysis
74%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: UCV Moquegua to win @ 3.75 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversitario to win50% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.53
UCV Moquegua vs Universitario preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees UCV Moquegua take on Universitario on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre. UCV Moquegua are 17th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Universitario sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UCV Moquegua's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Universitario's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Club Nacional 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for UCV Moquegua and 1.5 for Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: UCV Moquegua to win at 3.75 – 29% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: UCV Moquegua 1–1 Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCV Moquegua29%fair 3.41 · @3.75
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.40
Universitario50%fair 2.01 · @1.97
2.54Expected goals
1.05UCV Moquegua xG
1.49Universitario xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.1 – 1.5 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win
50%
2.01
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.53
–
Form
UCV Moquegua – last 6
LLLWWD
17 May
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
3 May
@ Alianza Lima
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ Cienciano
1–2
L
14 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sporting Cristal
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Universitario – last 6
DLDLWL
20 May
@ Club Nacional
0–0
D
16 May
vs Atletico Grau
0–1
L
12 May
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
8 May
@ Coquimbo Unido
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Club Nacional
4–2
W
27 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCV Moquegua and Universitario.
What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Universitario?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Universitario?
On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Universitario 50%.
How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Universitario?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Universitario?
Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is UCV Moquegua vs Universitario?
UCV Moquegua vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
