Value bet: Sport Boys to win @ 3.80 – our chance 35% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultUTC Cajamarca to win41% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.55
UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees UTC Cajamarca take on Sport Boys on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. UTC Cajamarca are 18th with 6 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Sport Boys sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UTC Cajamarca's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Garcilaso 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sport Boys's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Cusco 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sport Boys arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for UTC Cajamarca and 1.2 for Sport Boys. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UTC Cajamarca 41%, draw 24%, Sport Boys 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Sport Boys to win at 3.80 – 35% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Sport Boys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UTC Cajamarca41%fair 2.43 · @1.97
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
Sport Boys35%fair 2.86 · @3.80
2.55Expected goals
1.34UTC Cajamarca xG
1.21Sport Boys xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.3 – 1.2 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UTC Cajamarca to win
41%
2.43
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UTC Cajamarca / FT UTC Cajamarca
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
9.55
–
Form
UTC Cajamarca – last 6
LLLDLD
17 May
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–2
L
8 May
vs FC Cajamarca
1–2
L
4 May
@ FBC Melgar
0–2
L
15 Apr
vs Sport Huancayo
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Universitario
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ ADT
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sport Boys – last 6
WDDLWL
17 May
vs Cusco
1–0
W
12 May
vs Universitario
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UTC Cajamarca and Sport Boys.
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sport Boys 35%.
How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
