The Primera División sees Cusco take on Atletico Grau on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 23:15 (WAT) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Cusco are 10th with 24 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico Grau sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cusco's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Independiente Medellin 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atletico Grau's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Universitario 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Grau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Cusco and 0.8 for Atletico Grau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Cusco 1–0 Atletico Grau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cusco59%fair 1.68 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.80
Atletico Grau21%fair 4.82 · @5.00
2.52Expected goals
1.68Cusco xG
0.84Atletico Grau xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cusco 1.7 – 0.8 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cusco to win✓
59%
1.68
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cusco / FT Cusco✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.40
–
Form
Cusco – last 6
LLDDLW
21 May
vs Independiente Medellin
2–3
L
17 May
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
10 May
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
6 May
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–1
D
1 May
@ Independiente Medellin
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atletico Grau – last 6
WWLDWL
16 May
@ Universitario
1–0
W
22 Apr
vs Sporting Cristal
4–1
W
17 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cusco and Atletico Grau.
What is the prediction for Cusco vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Cusco vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers Cusco have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atletico Grau 21%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is Cusco 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs Atletico Grau?
Cusco vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
