Value bet: Cusco to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSport Boys to win ✓44% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.59
Sport Boys vs Cusco preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Sport Boys take on Cusco on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Grau. Sport Boys are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Cusco sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sport Boys's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Universitario 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cusco's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Sport Boys and 1.2 for Cusco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Boys 44%, draw 21%, Cusco 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Cusco to win at 3.40 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sport Boys 1–1 Cusco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Boys44%fair 2.25 · @2.08
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.45
Cusco35%fair 2.88 · @3.40
2.60Expected goals
1.40Sport Boys xG
1.20Cusco xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–27%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.4 – 1.2 Cusco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Boys to win✓
44%
2.25
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Boys / FT Sport Boys✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.59
–
Form
Sport Boys – last 6
DDLWLL
12 May
vs Universitario
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Cienciano
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cusco – last 6
DDLWLL
10 May
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
6 May
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–1
D
1 May
@ Independiente Medellin
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Alianza Lima
0–8
L
14 Apr
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Boys and Cusco.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sport Boys vs Cusco?
On our numbers Sport Boys have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cusco 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs Cusco?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs Cusco?
Our predicted score is Sport Boys 1–1 Cusco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sport Boys vs Cusco?
Sport Boys vs Cusco (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
