Value bet: Sport Boys to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSport Boys to win38% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–110% · fair 9.80
FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees FC Cajamarca take on Sport Boys on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. FC Cajamarca are 14th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Sport Boys sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Cajamarca's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Cusco 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sport Boys's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Juan Pablo II College 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sport Boys arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for FC Cajamarca and 1.3 for Sport Boys. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Cajamarca 37%, draw 24%, Sport Boys 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Sport Boys to win at 3.25 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FC Cajamarca 1–1 Sport Boys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Cajamarca37%fair 2.67 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Sport Boys38%fair 2.60 · @3.25
2.52Expected goals
1.25FC Cajamarca xG
1.27Sport Boys xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 1.3 – 1.3 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Boys to win
38%
2.60
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Boys / FT Sport Boys
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
10%
9.80
–
Form
FC Cajamarca – last 6
LLLLLL
23 Apr
@ Cusco
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Cienciano
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–4
L
6 Mar
@ Atletico Grau
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Universitario
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sport Boys – last 6
DLWLLD
26 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Cienciano
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cajamarca and Sport Boys.
What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sport Boys 38%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
Our predicted score is FC Cajamarca 1–1 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
