Value bet: ADT to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultADT to win65% · @1.75
Double chanceADT or draw87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 6.00
ADT vs Atletico Grau preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Grau travel to face ADT in the Primera División on Saturday 2 May (21:15 WAT). ADT are 16th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Atletico Grau sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
ADT's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Club Deportivo Los Chankas 4–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Atletico Grau's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Sporting Cristal 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for ADT and 0.6 for Atletico Grau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: ADT to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: ADT 1–0 Atletico Grau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ADT65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Atletico Grau13%fair 7.61 · @4.70
2.34Expected goals
1.73ADT xG
0.61Atletico Grau xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: ADT 1.7 – 0.6 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ADT to win
65%
1.54
1.75 ▲
Double chance
ADT or draw
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.95
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
ADT ahead at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ADT / FT ADT
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
6.00
–
Form
ADT – last 6
WLLDLD
27 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4–0
W
14 Apr
vs Alianza Lima
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Cienciano
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs FBC Melgar
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Alianza Atletico
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Grau – last 6
WLDWLL
22 Apr
vs Sporting Cristal
4–1
W
17 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and Atletico Grau.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win ADT vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers ADT have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Grau 13%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is ADT vs Atletico Grau?
ADT vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
