Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos preview and prediction
The match
Cienciano host Comerciantes Unidos in the Primera División on Saturday 2 May, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Cienciano are 12th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Comerciantes Unidos sit 13th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cienciano's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Atletico-MG 1–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Comerciantes Unidos's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Alianza Atletico 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Cienciano and 1.0 for Comerciantes Unidos. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cienciano 59%, draw 21%, Comerciantes Unidos 20%.
Safer route: Cienciano or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cienciano 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cienciano59%fair 1.71 · @1.71
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.65
Comerciantes Unidos20%fair 4.89 · @4.80
2.91Expected goals
1.90Cienciano xG
1.01Comerciantes Unidos xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Cienciano 1.9 – 1.0 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cienciano to win✓
59%
1.71
1.71
Double chance
Cienciano or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Half-time result
Cienciano ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cienciano / FT Cienciano✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.67
–
Form
Cienciano – last 6
WLWWDW
30 Apr
vs Atletico-MG
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
20 Apr
vs UCV Moquegua
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Puerto Cabello
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ Juventud
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs ADT
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Comerciantes Unidos – last 6
WDWWLD
22 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sport Huancayo
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ FC Cajamarca
4–3
W
1 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Cusco
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cienciano and Comerciantes Unidos.
What is the prediction for Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers Cienciano have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Comerciantes Unidos 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is Cienciano 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
