Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Alianza Atletico or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Alianza Atletico to win @ 1.89 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Atletico to win60% · @1.89
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.27
Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo preview and prediction
The match
Alianza Atletico host Sport Huancayo in the Primera División on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Alianza Atletico are 7th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sport Huancayo sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Alianza Atletico's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Macara 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sport Huancayo's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Deportivo Garcilaso 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Alianza Atletico and 0.7 for Sport Huancayo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Atletico 60%, draw 25%, Sport Huancayo 15%.
Safer route: Alianza Atletico or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Alianza Atletico to win at 1.89 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Atletico or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1–0 Sport Huancayo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Atletico60%fair 1.66 · @1.89
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.40
Sport Huancayo15%fair 6.72 · @4.10
2.34Expected goals
1.65Alianza Atletico xG
0.69Sport Huancayo xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.7 – 0.7 Sport Huancayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win
60%
1.66
1.89 ▲
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.27
–
Form
Alianza Atletico – last 6
LWLLDW
1 May
vs Macara
0–2
L
27 Apr
@ Universitario
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Comerciantes Unidos
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ America de Cali
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Tigre
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sport Huancayo – last 6
WDDLLW
18 Apr
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ UTC Cajamarca
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Comerciantes Unidos
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2–3
L
15 Feb
vs FC Cajamarca
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and Sport Huancayo.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo?
Our pick is Alianza Atletico or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sport Huancayo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–0 Sport Huancayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo?
Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
